Issued: 0530hrs Saturday 16th August 2025
Duty forecaster: Dan Graves

Dry and mostly sunny for the west and north Continent. Southeast Europe increasingly showers with local thunderstorms.

Saturday
Mostly sunny and hot across Spain and Portugal today, scattered thundery showers may break out in the east later. Fine and dry for the Balearics with more sunshine and hot here too. Scattered afternoon showers for Sardinia and Corsica. Italy will have some afternoon thunderstorms inland, some of them very heavy, particularly in the south near Sicily. The Balkan Sates and Greece may see a few scattered inland showers but mostly dry and very warm. Türkiye will be sunny and warm.
France may have a few showers in the east; otherwise it is going to be dry and bright with good sunshine. Broken cloud for the Low Countries and northern Germany, though the most coastal areas may see more persistent cloud. Poland is largely fair with sunny spells, but a few showers in the south. Hungary will be dry with sunshine. A band of heavy, thundery showers stretches from east Czechia through Austria and Switzerland, some into south Germany as well. Some local showers in Belarus, otherwise a fine sunny day in eastern Europe.
Denmark is going to be dry with plenty of sunshine. Fair for the south of Sweden too. Cloud and a few showers in the Baltic States, tending to increasing into Estonia into nighttime. Wet and windy in Finland and the northern half of Sweden. Norway is fair in southern areas but showers affecting the northern half of the country. Generally mild temperatures in central and north Scandinavia.

Sunday
More hot sunshine and scattered showers for central and east Spain, dry in Portugal and the Balearic Islands. Some scattered showers over Sardinia, Corsica, and Italy, tending to be less intense than the prior day. A wetter day for the Balkan States, particularly Croatia, Albania, and Bosnia and Herzigovina where heavy/thundery showers may occur. A few showers in west Greece but otherwise dry to the east and into Türkiye.
Dry and sunny for France and across Germany eastward through Czechia, Poland, and west Ukraine. Still warm here but milder than prior days. Northern parts of the Low Countries and Germany cloudier, possibly a few scattered spots of drizzly rain. More rain for Austria and east Switzerland, the heaviest spells on southern mountains and near Slovenia. Heavy/thundery showers too in Hungary and west Romania. Largely fine near the Black Sea.
Denmark and southern parts of Sweden and Norway will be substantially sunny. Cloudier to the north with regular spells of rain across Norway's central and northern coasts. Cloudy for much of Finland with spells of rain in central and southern areas. Wet too for the Baltic States, Lithuania driest in the morning.